Showing posts with label Jet Airways. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jet Airways. Show all posts

Thursday, September 15, 2011

How Kingfisher, Jet made a hash of their business models

Via - Firstpost.com
Running an airline in India is a mugs’ game. Once defined as the simple business of “getting bums on seats”—more “bums” means better bottomline—the way the Indian industry is being run, one wonders if the “bums” are paying enough for the seats they sit on.
Thursday’s newspapers said Kingfisher’s auditor was tut-tutting about the poor state of its balance-sheet. Without owner Vijay Mallya putting in more equity, the airline is on a crash course, with accumulated losses eroding more than “50 percent of its net worth.”
Look at the carnage. Kingfisher hasn’t seen black since 2005. Market leader Jet Airways hasn’t sniffed profits since 2007-08. SpiceJet has got a whiff, but has accumulated sackfuls of losses (Rs 720 crore) in the past. In the first quarter of 2011-12, Jetmade a loss of Rs 123 crore after many accounting adjustments, Kingfisher lost a whopping Rs 264 crore, and SpiceJet Rs 72 crore.
A Jet Airways aircraft (R) and Kingfisher Airlines (L) are seen on the tarmac at the airport in Mumbai. Punit Paranjpe/Reuters
One figure tells it all. Between last year and now, the three listed companies – Jet, Kingfisher and SpiceJet – destroyed Rs 6,600 crore of shareholder wealth, a drop of 59 percent when the overall market (as measured by the Nifty index) fell only 13.48 percent.
As for Air India, the less said the better. When last heard of, it had racked up losses of Rs 22,000 crore against a shrinking market share – and its management is accumulating frequent flier miles to-ing and fro-ing between Delhi and Mumbai, trying to wangle thousands of crores in equity infusion. What it needs is an infusion of cyanide.
The airline business is clearly a value destroyer. And it’s doing it all by itself, without help from Praful Patel.
Or is it? In India, there is clear line dividing successful (or near successful) airlines from the rest. And that line is drawn in sand. It divides the pure low-cost carriers (LCCs) with a clear business model (SpiceJet, Indigo) from the ones who operate both full-service and low-cost carriers (Jet, Kingfisher, Air India).
It’s the full-service carriers (FSCs) that are bleeding profusely for they have a confused business model. They have fallen between two stools.
The world over, there are five keys to airline success: costs, costs, costs, costs, costs. This is where the LCCs score over the FSCs.
The first cost in this bums-on-seats business is a four-letter word – CASK, or the cost per available seat kilometre. It helps to have more bums on seats, but the critical thing is to have the lowest possible seat cost per possible bum. CASK is a metric that measures what it costs to fly every seat for each km of distance.
Indigo and SpiceJet are the industry champs in CASK, though clearly comparable figures are not available. A Forbes India report quotes
Citibank’s airline industry analysts Jamshed Dadabhoy and Arvind Sharma as saying that “the capital costs per passenger for full service airlines have jumped several fold over the last few years, while those of budget airlines have remained stable or moved up very little. SpiceJet, for instance, has a CASK of between Rs 2.30-2.40 while the number for Jet Airways is around Rs 3.60.”
The second cost to control is debt. Debt brought Air India down, with some help from Praful Patel, who was the Civil Aviation Minister when the airline suddenly ordered 50 medium and long-range aircraft for $7.2 billion when the management thought 18 would do. The resulting debt laid the airline low. It current debt: a crippling Rs 42,570 crore.
Contrast that with what Indigo and SpiceJet have cannily done. Both take aircraft only on lease. Even if they buy them, the aircraft are resold to financiers and leased back. Says Antique Stock Broking, which put a buy on SpiceJet in July: “The company has used an asset light model for business growth with sale and leaseback strategy. Its entire fleet is currently leased and the strategy has helped the airline to keep its debt levels to minimum, avoiding debt burden. This strategy has paid off SpiceJet very well and it stands out distinctly amongst its competitors. The company has managed to survive the downturn and grow, while competing players are finding it difficult to expand the fleet due to heavy debt burden.”
Jet is better off compared to Air India, but it is still tottering under debt. In a recent interview, Jet’s Senior Vice-President (Finance) Mahalingam Shivkumar agreed that debt exceeded its airline assets. He said: “We have a debt of about Rs 13,400 crore, out of which Rs 9,000 crore is our acquired aircraft. Against that, we have an asset worth Rs 9,000 crore and we have a balance of Rs 4,000 crore.”
The market agrees. Rs 4,300 crore is the value of Jet’s drop in market capitalisation over the last one year.
The third cost is fuel. Thanks to rising fuel prices over the last one year, SpiceJet’s fuel costs as a percentage of sales have moved up from 37 percent to 56 percent of sales, but if its balance-sheet is looking prettier than its competitors’, its not because it is able to drive better bargains with the oil companies. Aviation fuel costs the same for everybody. So what makes the difference?
Aircraft age. Keep your aircraft fleet young, and you get fuel savings. Says the Forbes article on Indigo: “Indigo has six-year sale and leaseback agreements for most of its planes. The lessor takes the planes back after this and the airline can induct a brand new one in its place. Though at a cost, this is effectively like a perpetual elixir of youth. The most important financial implication is that it never has to undertake the ‘D’ check, where the aircraft is completely stripped down and airlines often discover the need to spend on major repairs. This check is usually done when the plane is about eight years old.”
The average age of Indigo’s fleet, as indicated by aviation website www.airfleets.net is 2.4 years. It’s a fleet-footed toddler in Indian airspace. Go Air’s average fleet age is also a stripling 2.5 years. SpiceJet’s birds are a bit older at an average of 4.7 years.
But the three airlines with a mix of full-service and low-cost operations—Kingfisher, Jet and Air India—had the oldest fleet mix. Kingfisher and Kingfisher Red had 4.6 years and 5.9 (making for an above 5 average for the company as a whole), Jet had 5.8, and Air India had a gerontocratic 9.8 years.
Age is beginning to tell on the big boys.
The fourth cost relates to aircraft maintenance. Globally, airlines have to maintain and service airlines to strict safety standards. This is why airlines with a diverse mix of aircraft tend to have higher costs, because they need separate staff to maintain Boeings or Airbuses or whatever.
The low-cost carriers (LCCs) have cannily focused on having only one basic aircraft (or sometimes two, with the second one connecting the smaller towns). SpiceJet uses Boeing 737s (NextGen). And Indigo Airbus 320s. But the big boys use several types. Kingfisher uses many different Airbuses (from A319-321 to 330) and ATRs. Jet uses Airbuses, Boeings and ATRs. Air India uses Airbuses, Boeings and even a Lockheed L-101 Tristar (anyone’s heard of them?)
In this business, diversity is weakness.
The fifth cost is the cost of idling. Getting bums on seats is one half of the challenge, but there’s no point getting them seated till you can fly them. In short, you have to fly more bums more often and for longer – and this means airlines which keep their aircraft flying for longer hours get better revenues. The figure to watch here is the aircraft utilisation rate – the time the aircraft spends in the air in a 24-hour cycle.
Indigo tries to keep the idle time between two journeys to 30 minutes and manages an aircraft utilisation rate of 11.5 hours a day. Air India’s? Don’t ask. It’s 9.1 hours.
Apart from costs, the full-service carriers compounded their problems by making fundamental strategic errors in their desire to scale up and raise market share.
Domestic market shares in 2001 stood at 26 percent for Jet (including JetLite), 19 percent for Kingfisher, 18 percent for Indigo, 16 percent for Air India, 14 percent for SpiceJet and 7 percent for Go Air, according to data from the Directorate General of Civil Aviation.
Two areas are worth mentioning. Mergers and branding.
All the full-service boys messed up their mergers. Coincidentally, all three—Jet, Kingfisher and Air India—went in for acquisitions and mergers in 2007-08. While Jet bought Sahara, Kingfisher bought Air Deccan and Air India merged with Indian Airlines. The traditional logic of mergers is cost savings and synergy, where two and two equals five.
But, surprise, two plus two ended up as three for all of them. While some cost rationalisations did come through from route swapping and capacity and code sharing, all three made branding and HR errors.
Air India never fully consummated the marriage with Indian Airlines as its human resources issues did not get sorted out (pay structures, etc). Jet and Kingfisher committed cardinal branding errors by renaming their low-cast carriers in their own image.
While Jet renamed Sahara as Jet Lite, consumers wondered what the difference was. Kingfisher converted Air Deccan into Kingfisher Red – and duly landed deeper in the red.
The issue is simple: when two brands—one full-service with all the frills of flying, and another, with low fares—are given the same or similar names, how is the consumer to know the difference? It is easy to assume that Kingfisher Red’s service is no different from Kingfisher’s, when the fares of the former are far lower. If Rolex were to buy Titan and name the latter Rolex Lite, will Rolex’s sales go up or Titan’s?
It is more than likely that many air passengers downtraded to the LCCs due to this brand confusion.
The full-service carriers have clearly to rethink their business models and branding. Or else, they can kiss goodbye to profits forever.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Low-cost carriers drive Indian revival

Indian low-cost carrier IndiGo's order for 180 Airbus A320s in January has thrown the spotlight back on the country's airline industry, amid growing confidence that the sector could finally be putting behind its troubles of the last few years.

This time, however, it is the low-cost airlines that are leading the way. Privately held IndiGo's memorandum of understanding was for 150 of the new re-engined A320neo and 30 regular A320s, with the deal likely to be confirmed in the coming months. The aircraft, set for delivery between 2016 and 2025, and the move for the Neo, marked the first public commitment for the airframer's re-engined narrowbody.

Another of the country's low-cost carriers, SpiceJet, the airline taken over last year by Indian media tycoon Kalanithi Maran, firmed up an order for 30 Boeing 737-800s featuring blended winglets in late 2010. These aircraft will be delivered from 2012. The carrier, which already operates 24 737-800s and 737-900ERs, has also ordered up to 30 Bombardier Q400 turboprops that will be delivered from the second quarter of this year.

Both are expanding to take advantage of the growth in the price-sensitive domestic market, to increase their network within the country as the infrastructure catches up with demand, and to begin international operations. Under Indian government regulations, airlines must be in business for five years before starting international services. SpiceJet met that criteria last year, and IndiGo will do so later this year.

The three main full-service carriers - state-owned Air India and the publicly listed Jet Airways and Kingfisher Airlines - are in various stages of recovery. All of them made excessive orders for aircraft in 2005-07, and then dumped capacity in the following years in an attempt to capture market share. But with falling yields, all began to report losses that worsened during the downturn. The capital investments also drained their balance sheets, and all have tried to raise funds through different sources. All three also operate a hybrid business model, with a full service airline supported by a low-cost carrier that they incorporated later partly in response to the emergence of the budget airline market in the country. However, a failure to fully separate the two businesses has meant that the inherent inefficiencies and high costs from the full-service business have seeped into the subsidiaries. They have paid the price.

Air India has been making a loss for years. Beset by internal resistance to change and public objection to the state using tax dollars to bail it out, it is still trying to overcome its many problems. Jet and Kingfisher also reported losses, but appear to be faring better after cutting capacity and costs, and as the recovering economy boosted demand. All of them want to begin new services and say that they are ready to compete once again. But the low-cost carriers, despite their significantly smaller fleets, are holding their own. Indian airlines carried 4.88 million passengers in November, up 5.9% from October. While Jet Airways and its subsidiary JetLite were the domestic market leaders with a 26.2% share, followed by Kingfisher with 19.1%, IndiGo edged ahead of Air India with the third largest share at 17.3%. And IndiGo led the pack with a seat factor of 91%, ahead of SpiceJet with 87.5%, closely followed by Kingfisher.

While infrastructure remains a problem, the Airports Authority of India plans to build and upgrade airports in various secondary cities. It also has plans to build the infrastructure in smaller upcoming cities, citing a growing population and rising demand. That would mean greater demand for new aircraft as airlines renew and add to their fleets.

Boeing said in its 2010 market outlook that India would need 1,150 commercial jets over the next 20 years, while Airbus forecasts demand for 1,032 aircraft over the same time period. Boeing also believes that the airlines are finally getting a handle on the situation after the highs and lows of the recent years.

"Airlines have matched capacity more closely to demand, especially on newly launched international routes," says the airframer in its recent 20-year outlook for India. "Measures like [leasing out] have proved effective in mitigating the near-term effects of the [economic] downturn and will, in the longer term, facilitate the return of leased airplanes to Indian carrier fleets."

Airbus predicts in its latest global forecast that domestic Indian traffic volume is set to soar at 9.2% a year, the overall figure exceeding 250 trillion revenue passenger-kilometres by 2029. It also predicts traffic from India to China, South-East Asia and North America as being among the fastest-growing flows.

Low-cost carriers such as IndiGo and SpiceJet are likely to be the major beneficiaries of this growth, suggests the Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation.

"India will also undoubtedly offer an enormous international short-haul market in its own right. The Indian diaspora has traditionally been underserved and, as new regional centres open up, the opportunities for low priced non-stop travel are magnified," it adds.

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Airlines see blue skies in FY11 on cost cuts, improved traffic

India’s airlines are expected to post aggregate losses of around $2 billion (Rs9,260 crore) in 2009-10, largely on account of excess capacity and high fuel prices, but most of them are looking forward to a better, even profitable, 2010-11 on the back of their own cost-cutting measures and an increase in passenger traffic. The growth has already started coming in. If the current situation prevails, the next financial year will be good for airlines. Most importantly, the gap between demand and supply will disappear in the year. Demand could outstrip supply by 2014. That marks a significant turnaround for a sector plagued by overcapacity in 2008-09 and part of 2009-10. The aggregate loss of India’s airlines rose 44% to Rs8,557.37 crore in 2008-09 and the airlines expect to post a loss of a similar magnitude this year. Meanwhile, passenger traffic in the country, the fourth highest in the world after that in the US, China, and Japan, fell in 2008-09 on the back of high tariffs; it also fell in the first part of 2009-10. (Negative outlook: The aggregate loss of India’s airlines rose 44% to Rs8,557.37 crore in 2008-09 and the airlines expect to post a loss of a similar magnitude this year.) However, most airlines have started posting better results in recent months. Jet Airways (India) Ltd, the country’s largest airline, showed a 33% increase in its domestic passenger traffic in November, compared with the same period last year. The airline’s international passenger traffic has also registered a growth of 19% in November. Even in what is typically the lean season for Indian airlines, Jet Airways managed to clock an operating profit of Rs44.24 crore for the quarter ended 30 September. However, its net loss in the quarter widened to Rs406.69 crore from Rs384.53 crore a year earlier, largely on account of a five-day pilots’ strike and lower airfares. The Indian aviation market is growing realistically at 4-5% currently, compared to the levels of 2007-08, which was the boom period. The issue of overcapacity has been addressed. That’s an opinion that is seconded by analysts. The airline sector is exhibiting strong recovery, with an increase in passenger traffic and bottoming of yields. This, along with stable oil prices, is expected to lead to (the) sector turning profitable by next year. “I have always been very optimistic about the Indian market. All signs are that traffic is improving but we also need to see an improvement in yields. The yield improvement will come as capacity is constrained and I am sure we will see another wave of orders (for planes) in 2011-12,” said Kiran Rao, executive vice-president, marketing and contracts, for aircraft manufacturer Airbus SAS. Not everyone agrees with that. Airline CEOs (chief executive officers) are always optimistic and they will expect profit every year. As long as the growth is artificial and fares do not cover the cost of operations, profitability will be a question. An industry analyst, who did not want to be identified, pointed out a potential problem arising from Indian carriers cancelling or deferring orders for aircraft. “Most of the carriers have deferred their aircraft acquisition plans. If the revival is true and if they fly back to black, they will miss the wave of next boom.” Over the past month, shares of Jet Airways have risen 19.68% and closed at Rs560.45 each on Wednesday on the Bombay Stock Exchange. Shares of Kingfisher Airlines Ltd rose 15.06% to close at Rs60.35 each, and those of SpiceJet Ltd zoomed 31.22% to close at Rs55.90 each in the same period. The exchange’s benchmark Sensex index has risen by 3.8% in the same period and ended Wednesday at 17125.22 points.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

India's Airline Industry Goes From Boom to Bust...

A few years ago, India's airline industry was flying high. A booming economy made India one of the fastest growing and most competitive aviation markets in the world. Six new carriers launched while established airlines laid on new routes and bought new jets. In the last four years, Indian carriers ordered 400 Boeing and Airbus jetliners worth about $37 billion.

Brace for impact. The global recession has hit air carriers everywhere, but a sharp decline in passenger numbers is especially bad news for India. With oil prices rising to $73 a barrel, Indian airlines — which carry just 2% of the world's passengers — could sustain more than $2.5 billion in losses this year, accounting for one-fourth of the projected $9 billion in losses for the entire industry, according to the International Air Transport Association. Weighed down by overcapacity, debt and the government's refusal to provide bailouts, Indian carriers are being forced to slash their operations and reduce ticket prices. "Indian aviation is undergoing a regime change in just four years," says chief executive officer of the Center for Asia Pacific Aviation.

That change includes deferring aircraft deliveries, cancelling orders, rationalizing routes and trimming staff to stave off financial collapse. "It's going to be tough, but we mean business," says Praful Patel, India's civil aviation minister. At the same time, three of the country's largest carriers — state-owned Air India, and private players Jet Airways and Kingfisher — are trying to attract more passengers by turning their full-service domestic fleets into budget businesses. In January, India's budget airlines fleet totaled 75 jets, compared with 120 full-service planes. The Center for Asia Pacific Aviation's Kaul reckons that by the end of the year, the skies will be dominated by up to 160 low-fare jets as companies switch to budget operations.

Hardest hit by the economic downturn has been national carrier Air India: It reported annual losses of $1 billion in the fiscal year ending March 31, along with an accumulated debt of $3.5 billion; that debt load is expected to rise to $7 billion by 2012 if it takes delivery of 111 new aircraft already on order. Air India alone accounts for 10% of the total projected losses for the global airline industry this year — even though it carries just 0.35% of global traffic. Air India is suffering from an aging fleet and a bloated staff roster of 31,000 permanent employees and 20,000 contract staff; its labor costs amount to 18% of its total operating expense, the highest ratio in the world, according to Patel.

With no bailout help from New Delhi in sight, Air India is bidding to bring its profitable international budget brand — Air India Express — to Indian turf. Air India Express, which has been flying routes to the Middle East and Southeast Asia for the past five years, will configure 10 of its 57 planes for budget flights by September, says Air India managing director Arvind Jadhav. The company plans to increase the number of budget flights a day from 25 initially to 43 by October. Ticket fares will be down 25% making it attractive for fliers. The logic, says aviation minister Patel, "is to fill up seats and operate at lower costs." Unlike its parent, the profitable Air India Express operates as an independent company with lower overheads. Besides, with no business seats they will be able to pack in more people at a time when the passenger count for all airlines is down 30% since last year.

Following similar logic, private players Jet Airways and Kingfisher, owned by the liquor baron Vijay Mallya, are expanding existing budget operations to try to increase business during the economic downturn. They aren't starting from scratch. Both airlines already had rechristened budget carriers — Jet Lite and Kingfisher Red — acquired in 2007. Now they are transferring capacity to the economy fleets. Kingfisher Red jets are flying more routes; as a result, about 75% of all domestic passengers that now fly with Kingfisher are traveling budget class, up from 50% a year ago. Meanwhile, Jet Airways, India's oldest private player, has converted some of its jets by removing all business-class seats and rebranding them as JetKonnect — giving the company two budget brands. "It gives us the flexibility and speed to deploy capacity and reverse it to meet changing trends," said Sudheer Raghavan, chief commercial officer of Jet. Launched in May, JetKonnect offers 40% lower fares and plans to take the current 130 flights a week to 160 by October.

Officials for both carriers say they hope to resume normal operations once the economy rebounds. But analysts say that may be difficult because the industry has yet to solve a basic problem: too many airlines flying too many flights in a country that, despite its economic growth, is relatively poor. India's airlines are now crowding into the budget market, just as they crowded into regular and premium air travel services a few years ago. "With everybody fighting for the same piece of business, this could once again create overcapacity and fuel fare wars," says Ankur Bhatia, executive director of Bird Group, a New Delhi company that provides technology to the travel industry. Lowering fares may attract more travelers but it may not improve the overall financial health of the industry. "To make profits while shifting business models, the airlines have to think, act, breathe and be low cost," Amitabh Malhotra, managing director of investment bank NM Rothschild & Sons in Mumbai. "That doesn't happen overnight." Adds Patel, India's aviation minister: "This time every airline will learn a lesson the hard way."

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

India as Global Aviation hub...

India’s aviation industry is in a mess.

Pick up any of India’s main papers and stories abound about India’s airlines losing $2 billion in the last financial year. NACIL, the publicly-owned company that runs Air India is in particularly bad shape. The government has rejected a request for a $3 billion bailout package. Instead, the government wants to overhaul AI’s management within a month and has started the hunt for an experienced chief operating officer. With accumulated losses as of March 31 that total a staggering $1.5 billion, for the first time in its history the airline delayed paying its salaries in June. None of the other large carriers, including Jet Airways and Kingfisher, are faring much better. Those two have taken excess capacity out of the market and reduced overheads. Airport operators, oil companies, hotels and others have either threatened to introduce or already are operating cash-and-carry regimes with carriers that have, in some cases, significantly exceeded their credit limits. The spectacular growth rates of 30% to 40% that enticed airlines to ramp up aircraft orders and to devise unsustainable (but until not too long ago universally followed) strategies of buying market share by discounting tickets and adding capacity are now history.

In such a scenario, is there any chance that India will emerge as a global aviation hub?

Looking at its metropolises, including the megacities of Delhi and Mumbai, India should already sport at least one major global aviation hub. Both cities have populations approaching 20 million inhabitants. Delhi is the country’s political capital and arguably its second most important commercial hub. It also does not suffer from the severe space constraints afflicting Mumbai’s Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport. In fact, the masterplan for Delhi’s Indira Gandhi International Airport envisages a capacity of 100 million passengers at the end of its development. The capital hosts embassies of most of the world’s countries, international schools, good hotels and entertainment facilities, a rapidly growing infrastructure and, if one includes the satellite towns of Gurgaon and Noida, more head offices of multinational companies than any other city in India. Until today, infrastructure has been a major handicap. Lack of efficient connectivity between the domestic and international terminals made transfers from domestic to international flights (and vice versa) an unpredictable nightmare for passengers and airlines. With the airport’s development and the construction of an integrated domestic/international terminal this problem will be resolved by the middle of next year.

“Capacity reduction is still lagging behind demand.”

However, their poor shape and the relatively small size of India’s airlines compared with majors such as Emirates, Lufthansa or Singapore Airlines — all with their already well-established hubs and route networks — will make it difficult for any desi carrier to assert itself. The merger of Air India and Indian Airlines was conceptually the right way forward. It was aimed at giving the state carrier the size and route network to effectively compete with its domestic and international challengers. Unfortunately, the marriage between the two airlines was never properly consummated and hardly any of its envisaged synergies have materialized.

So what should India’s aviation industry do to extricate itself from this mess?

To begin with, the airlines will have to start addressing the problems that they themselves have caused. This process has already started with Jet and Kingfisher deferring orders for new aircraft, mothballing new deliveries or, where possible, leasing or selling them to foreign carriers. In short, with the exception of some of the low cost operators, a significant amount of capacity has been taken out of the market. Jet has transferred much of its remaining capacity to its economy-only Jet Konnect product as well as to its low cost subsidiary JetLite. Kingfisher has followed the same strategy by shifting passengers onto its no frills Kingfisher Red product. On another front, a truce in the price wars has yet to be reached. Yet capacity reduction is still lagging behind demand. With all airlines chasing bums on seats, charging prices that will cover costs and hopefully leave a margin for profit remains difficult in such a hotly-contested market. We will surely see more consolidation or bankruptcies in the medium term. This is precisely an area where the government should step in. Before the elections, the Ministry of Civil Aviation contemplated allowing up to 49% foreign domestic investment in domestic airlines. This would include foreign airlines as potential investors – something that is currently explicitly prohibited. It seems obvious that in an industry where average profit margins do not exceed 1.5%, the most likely investors would be other airlines seeking to strengthen their market position, increase their route network or realize economies of scale. Since the elections, however, nothing more has been heard of this proposal.

Another deterrent: The cost of fuel, which in India is among the highest in the world. At current prices, fuel accounts for 45% to 50% of operating costs in India. While the central government has instructed the public-sector oil companies to provide generous credit terms to the airlines, it could do more by naming fuel a declared good which attracts a uniform 4% sales tax.

At present, it is up to individual states to charge fuel taxes as they see fit. Some of them are charging well over 30% – a figure that keeps on rising in absolute terms as fuel prices go up. Internationally, aviation fuel does not attract any levies in many major markets. For India, this means a distorted market, putting its carriers at a relative disadvantage especially on international routes and making technical or fuelling stops in India for international carriers non-viable.

Furthermore, service tax and other levies have been a bone of contention between the airline industry and the government. A review and streamlining of the entire tax regime would surely be a sensible thing. Getting the fundamentals right is obviously a prerequisite for the establishment of a successful hub. To date, India has been fairly liberal in its approach to so-called bilateral agreements which regulate how many flights and/or to which points carriers from two contracting countries can serve. This is a good thing. An open bilateral regime stimulates competition and traffic growth as the examples of Singapore and Dubai have shown. It is also instrumental in bringing down the cost of travel and promoting economic growth.

For the sake of its national economy, the current plight of the national carrier should not discourage India from keeping its aviation market open. Instead, liberalization should be used as a tool to make its industry more competitive and its national carrier a leaner, more focussed and especially a more customer-centric organization.

Air India has taken a couple of encouraging steps. It has selected a European hub at Frankfurt, its first outside India. It is phasing out its unreliable fleet of old B777s and B747s. It has been selected as a member of the Star Alliance and is in the process of joining. That will give Air India a greater reach into the coveted U.S. market in addition to its flights from India. It is through its alliance membership that Air India could widen its appeal and route network from India to the rest of the world.

Overall, India either has or is building the necessary ingredients for establishing a successful aviation hub, most likely in Delhi. But to fulfil that promise will require a broader partnership involving alliance partners, regulators, airport operators and local authorities to overcome the many hurdles that remain.

Saturday, August 8, 2009

India's struggling airlines

“FLY the good times,” urges the slogan of Kingfisher airlines. But for India’s commercial-aviation industry, these are far from good times. On July 31st the Federation of Indian Airlines (FIA) threatened a one-day strike to put pressure on the government to save its seven members from going bust. As the government mulls a bail-out for one of them, the moribund state-owned Air India, the FIA is demanding that it also help privately owned airlines by lowering taxes on jet fuel, which are especially high in India. In response, the government warned airlines against inconveniencing passengers and offered talks. The FIA said it would put the strike, scheduled for August 18th, “on hold”.

Until recently India’s private-sector airlines, which carry more than 80% of domestic passengers, were lauded as a symbol of the country’s spectacular economic growth. But growth began to stall in 2007, when rapidly rising fuel prices pushed up fares and the economy slowed. In the first half of this year, airline passenger numbers fell by 8% to 21.1m. Last year India’s aviation industry lost more than $2.5 billion—about 25% of total world airline losses despite accounting for only 2% of global traffic. This year is set to be as bad.

For Kingfisher and its main competitor, Jet Airways, both full-service carriers, times are especially tough. Kingfisher, which reported a net loss of 2.43 billion rupees ($51m) in the quarter to June, owes more than 9.5 billion rupees in unpaid fuel bills and is surviving on bank loans. Jet Airways recorded a net loss of 2.25 billion rupees in the same period.

High fuel costs certainly exacerbate Indian airlines’ woes. Fuel tax is set by most of India’s states at 28%, whereas in much of the rest of the world aviation fuel is untaxed. The airlines want it to be declared an “essential commodity”, making it eligible for tax at 4%. A handful of states, most recently Rajasthan, have cut jet-fuel taxes to 4% in a bid to encourage airlines to establish local services. But others, including two of the most important, Maharashtra (home to Mumbai) and Delhi, are reluctant to follow for big airports: the tax is a valuable source of revenue out of which fuels used by the poor, such as kerosene and diesel, are subsidised.

But burdensome though the taxes are, they are not the only reason why India’s private airlines are suffering. Over-capacity should take much of the blame. “India’s airlines grew too big, too fast,” says Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation. Anxious to chase market share, the airlines priced tickets well below cost. By some estimates, they bought twice as many aeroplanes as the market could support. As competing airlines poached pilots and mechanics, staff costs soared. “It was all about ego rather than business,” says Captain G. R. Gopinath.

Today those egos are badly bruised and, in line with trends elsewhere, it is low-cost airlines that are taking an increasing share of the market. Of India’s three listed airlines, a budget carrier, Spicejet, was the only one to turn a profit in the most recent quarter. The other two are Jet and Kingfisher. Fighting back, Jet launched a no-frills subsidiary, Jet Konnect, in May; last year, Kingfisher took over Air Deccan to create Kingfisher Red. The budget carriers are hoping to ride the economic downturn by offering better value to corporate travellers. But in the longer term they are eyeing a much bigger opportunity: the 98% of Indians who have never flown.

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Firemen declare Delhi's new airport terminal 'unsafe'

The Delhi Fire Service has declared the brand new departure terminal 1 D at the capital's Indira Gandhi International Airport (IGI) unsafe.

Delhi Fire Service chief R.C. Sharma has refused to provide a no-objection certificate (NOC) for terminal 1 D, citing many shortcomings during the two inspections conducted by his team in the past few months.

In his last report on May 13, Sharma cited six shortcomings. He said the ventilation system in the VIP lounge, baggage area and the office area was yet to be completed. Further, he stated, the exit route in the retail area should have a separate staircase or passage.

"In some places sprinklers are hidden in the false ceiling, which should be brought down. Some of the restaurants are under construction and are using wooden material. The wood works need to be painted with fire retardant chemicals. Necessary fire alarms or sprinkler system should be extended to these areas," Sharma noted in his report.

He further said systems at the new departure terminal could not be checked due to passenger movement and asked for arrangements to test the systems whenever possible.

But so far the Delhi International Airport Ltd (DIAL), a joint venture between the state-run Airports Authority of India and a consortium led by infrastructure major GMR, has not made any arrangements for the inspection of the systems.

In his report Sharma concluded that "terminal 1 D cannot be considered safe from the safety point of view till safety arrangements are fully completed."

Terminal 1 D, which is spread over 33,000 sq m, has replaced 1 B, the old terminal. It was opened for operations April 19. Kingfisher, Kingfisher Red and IndiGo, Jet Airways, JetLite and Spice Jet are operating from the new terminal, while GoAir, Air India and others are operating from terminal 1 A.

According to the airport officials, around 200 flights operate daily from the new departure terminal, which has been built at a cost of Rs.500 crore ($100 million). The terminal is able to handle 10 million passengers annually and is equipped with 72 check-in counters. It was inaugurated by Civil Aviation Minister Praful Patel.

The airport authorities had first invited the Delhi Fire Service officials April 8. At that time, the fire service wrote in its report that fire pumps and the fire control room were yet to be fully operational and that the sprinkler line was not charged with water at many places.

DIAL sent a report to the fire department May 4 stating that measures suggested had been complied with. The fire department again conducted an inspection and highlighted fresh shortcomings.

When asked why necessary clearance was not sought before the new terminal came into operation, DIAL spokesman Arun Arora said the terminal was absolutely safe for operations and for passengers.

"DIAL is very much alive to the required fire safety norms. We have been following all fire safety norms (domestic as well as international) for all equipment and procedures".

"All necessary documents have been submitted to the fire department and inspections have been carried out by the Delhi Fire Service officers. All observations and suggestions made by them were carried out by DIAL. The suggestions made by them during their subsequent visit to terminal 1 D are also being carried out," he added.

Arora said to ensure fail-proof fire safety DIAL has taken many initiatives.

"We have deputed 18 well trained firemen who keep patrolling all areas of the terminals - like the check-in area, airline ticketing areas and security holds. More than 50 fire hydrant outlets have been deployed inside and outside the terminal for greater safety," Arora said.

Though DIAL has been running the new terminal without fire safety clearances, the Delhi Fire Service was silent on why no action was being taken against the airport authorities. As per the powers conferred upon the fire department, it can cut electricity and water supplies to a building or even shut it down if the fire safety norms are not met.

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Airline-Sector Woes Slam India's Highflier

Running an airline is a reliable way to lose money. The turbulent ride of India's Jet Airways shows why. Naresh Goyal shook up Indian aviation when he founded Jet in 1992. With punctual flights, new planes and friendly service, Jet was the first carrier here to truly modernize air travel.
Jet controlled nearly half the domestic market by early this decade, with most of the rest going to state-owned Indian Airlines. In Jet's 2004 fiscal year, as many of the world's carriers were still recovering from the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks on the U.S., it outpaced the industry with net profits of $33 million. Jet's initial public offering, in 2005, valued Mr. Goyal's 80% stake at $2 billion. Now, Jet is scrambling to stay aloft. Low fares from no-frills competitors ravaged revenue. Staff costs soared as rivals poached pilots and mechanics. Airport congestion in India made for a logistical nightmare -- forcing Jet to open an international hub 4,000 miles from home, in Brussels. Amid a glut of capacity, Jet's market share slid from a high of almost 49% in 2003 to roughly 25% this year. The airline started posting sharp losses in late 2007. Jet eked out a net profit in its latest quarter by selling assets, slashing costs and booking tax credits, but the outlook remains tough. "It's been hard," said Mr. Goyal, the 59-year-old founder, in an interview at his $15 million London townhouse. "We were making so much money, and now we're losing money." The carrier's woes began as India's economy boomed in 2005, thus highlighting a broader problem for the global airline sector: Even in good times, the industry struggles to generate sustainable profits. Jet Airways has struggled to capitalize on growth as it got squeezed between uncontrollable costs and increasingly unfettered competition. Jet's slide can be traced to a sea change in the global aviation business. Deregulation, the rise of Internet ticket sales and other factors have made it easier than ever for upstarts to challenge bigger, established carriers. In India, where state-run carriers and government policies stymied air travel for decades, the sudden transition proved tumultuous. Last year was particularly rough. The airline business floundered as fuel prices surged, the credit crunch hit and world-wide travel plunged. Jet is reacting by cutting staff, closing offices around Asia and reducing flight frequencies. Searching for profitable routes, Jet recently took planes from India's crowded domestic market and expanded service to Dubai. It soon plans to start flying to Saudi Arabia. Mr. Goyal cut his teeth in the airline business by working -- and sleeping -- at his uncle's New Delhi travel agency while he was an 18-year-old student. Seven years later, in 1974, he started his own agency, bankrolled by personal savings and a gold bracelet of his mother's that he pawned. As the Indian sales agent for overseas carriers including Air France and Hong Kong's Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd., he learned the ins and outs of upscale air travel. Jet was one of several carriers launched after India began deregulating domestic aviation in 1991, and initial competition was fierce. Jet survived as rivals failed, thanks in part to Mr. Goyal's longstanding links to foreign carriers with which Jet cooperated to fly international passengers. Although Indian law had granted state-owned Air India a monopoly on foreign flights since 1953, Mr. Goyal prepared for the day that Jet would be allowed to extend its network overseas. He entertained politicians, aviation officials and travel professionals in his London townhouse overlooking tony Regents Park. "I was convinced one day India would have to open up," he says. Anticipating the change, Mr. Goyal focused on creating a passenger experience to rival the world's best carriers. He poured tens of millions of dollars into cabin entertainment systems, ergonomic seats and staff training. He also turned the trend of outsourcing to India on its head by hiring American pilots, recruiting managers from leading Asian and European carriers, and unabashedly aping the innovations of up-market trailblazing airlines such as Singapore Airlines Ltd. "Naresh Goyal's policy of hiring expats broke the mold in India -- he was a pioneer," says Craig Jenks, president of Airline/Aircraft Projects, a global aviation consulting firm in New York. In 2004, India allowed private airlines to fly overseas. Mr. Goyal jumped at the opportunity. He ordered 10 Boeing 777s, and fitted the first-class cabins with spacious private compartments modeled after those created by Dubai's upscale Emirates Airline. Jet's initial public offering in 2005 was 16-times oversubscribed amid national enthusiasm for the airline and its whole industry. But Jet's success also spawned competition. Vijay Mallya, chairman of brewing and distilling giant United Breweries (Holding) Ltd., launched upscale Kingfisher Airlines. It was meant to double as a flying promotion for his top beer brand, Kingfisher. A tiny upstart launched in 2003, Air Deccan, proved even more damaging to Jet. Copying the no-frills approach pioneered by Southwest Airlines Co., it served secondary cities that Jet didn't touch. Deccan opened a floodgate by showing the low-cost model could work in India. In 2005, a group of entrepreneurs started a similar low-cost carrier, SpiceJet Ltd. That same year, a major Indian travel-services company started its own budget carrier, IndiGo. Mr. Goyal fought back by acquiring no-frills competitor Air Sahara, which he rebranded as JetLite. Indian carriers grabbed the spotlight at the 2005 Paris Air Show, the aviation sector's big industry event. There, they announced orders for planes valued at more than $15 billion. IndiGo ordered 100 Airbus airliners even before it secured government permission to start flying. Although Kingfisher had only been flying for two months, Mr. Mallya splashed out by ordering five Airbus A380 superjumbos, the world's largest passenger planes. India's growing middle class was helping tug the global aviation industry from its post-9/11 slump. "Everyone is talking about China," observed Airbus Chief Operating Officer John Leahy at the Paris Air Show that year. "But the biggest growth story we see is India." Foreign investors, financiers and leasing companies, all hungry for new markets, raced to bankroll India's breakneck airline expansion. Indians who had long squeezed onto wheezing, sweaty trains began jetting about the country. Jet soon faced another hurdle: India's outdated aviation infrastructure clogged up. Air-traffic delays added 10% to flight times and cost $80 million in wasted fuel during 2006, Jet executives said, and things were getting worse. "The average 70-minute domestic flight spends another 35 minutes circling," Mr. Goyal complained last spring. The lack of modern aircraft-maintenance facilities in India forced Jet to send planes overseas for routine upkeep, adding millions of dollars to its bills. The cost of retaining veteran mechanics, flight attendants and pilots soared as new rivals poached qualified staff. Even Jet's budget subsidiary, JetLite, and other no-frills carriers struggled. "There are no low-cost airlines in India, only low-fare, no-profit carriers," Mr. Goyal said at a Jet media gathering in 2007. Yet Indian carriers kept chasing market share by slashing fares and adding planes, even as losses ballooned. By last June, Mr. Goyal saw that competition had made business untenable. "We're all in trouble," he lamented at an industry conference, saying each domestic carrier should slash capacity by 30%. Kingfisher's Mr. Mallya scoffed that Mr. Goyal "doesn't know how to do math." But Kingfisher was losing so much money that it soon canceled airplane orders and new routes vital to its overseas expansion. In a sign of the industry's distress, the bitter rivals last October announced an alliance to share airport facilities, coordinate schedules and reduce capacity. The deal still faces regulatory approval. Mr. Goyal had enjoyed a major edge over rivals in one key battleground: overseas flights. Indian deregulation in 2004 opened up international routes only to private carriers that had flown domestically for at least five years. Jet's experience allowed Mr. Goyal to move first, launching flights to Singapore, London and Kuala Lumpur in 2005. Jet quickly grabbed traffic from state-owned Air India, which had struggled to compete globally due to its poor service. Wealthy Indians who had preferred foreign carriers such as British Airways PLC were glad to have a local alternative. Ajit Balakrishnan, founder of India's largest Internet portal, says Jet staff "deliver a superb product" on the domestic flights he takes weekly from Mumbai, and so he jumped at the chance to fly Jet overseas. The 60-year-old veteran advertising executive often books on Jet, which began offering service to New York-area airports in August of 2007. He recommends Jet to foreign friends for its "modern luxury." But Mr. Goyal's intercontinental ambitions faced huge obstacles at India's overtaxed airports. Flights from India to the U.S. or Europe require big planes to carry sufficient fuel, and big planes need lots of passengers to run profitably. In mature markets, airlines generally fill long-haul flights with traffic from many smaller planes arriving at a hub for connections. To coordinate this, airlines need lots of boarding gates, airplane parking spots and runways slots. India's major airports lacked all of them. Anxious to expand, Mr. Goyal hit on an unlikely option during a state visit to India by the King of Belgium in 2005: using the Brussels airport as a hub for North American-bound flights. The facility had sat largely empty since the collapse of national carrier Sabena four years earlier. Talks with Belgian officials at Mumbai's luxurious Taj hotel quickly yielded an action plan. "It was a proper business meeting with an agenda," recalls Mr. Goyal, who was more accustomed to India's glacial bureaucracy. Winning regulatory approval for the unusual arrangement from Belgium and the U.S. took months, but by late 2007, Jet's wide-body airliners were arriving in Brussels each morning from Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, mixing passengers and departing again for New York's JFK International Airport, Newark Liberty Airport and Toronto. Another three planes did the same trip in reverse. The four-hour Brussels stopover lengthens passengers' trip time compared with a nonstop flight. It also forces Jet to move hundreds of passengers and their bags quickly through a foreign airport at great expense. But thanks to close cooperation with the privately owned airport, which was hungry for business, Jet was able to offer nine different connections between Indian and North American airports, compared with only three connections possible with nonstop flights. But as fuel prices rose in 2008 and America's financial problems rippled to India's outsourcing operations, Jet flights through Brussels grew emptier. Costs rose. Only weeks after adding a seventh Brussels flight last Oct. 31, from Bangalore, Jet reversed course on Nov. 25 and canceled the route, citing economic turmoil. Jet now serves 60 destinations, including 19 outside India. "The crisis has forced us to look much more closely at costs," Mr. Goyal said at his London mansion. Mr. Goyal says he remains committed to Brussels and predicts the North American operation will break even this summer. But many rivals doubt the long-term viability of a hub so far from home. "It doesn't work," says Pierre-Henri Gourgeon, chief executive of Air France-KLM SA, which operates huge hubs in Paris and Amsterdam. Successful hubs rely on big traffic volumes, which Jet cannot guarantee, he says In mature markets, airlines generally fill long-haul flights with traffic from many smaller planes arriving at a hub for connections. To coordinate this, airlines need lots of boarding gates, airplane parking spots and runways slots. India's major airports lacked all of them. Anxious to expand, Mr. Goyal hit on an unlikely option during a state visit to India by the King of Belgium in 2005: using the Brussels airport as a hub for North American-bound flights. The facility had sat largely empty since the collapse of national carrier Sabena four years earlier. Talks with Belgian officials at Mumbai's luxurious Taj hotel quickly yielded an action plan. "It was a proper business meeting with an agenda," recalls Mr. Goyal, who was more accustomed to India's glacial bureaucracy. Winning regulatory approval for the unusual arrangement from Belgium and the U.S. took months, but by late 2007, Jet's wide-body airliners were arriving in Brussels each morning from Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai, mixing passengers and departing again for New York's JFK International Airport, Newark Liberty Airport and Toronto. Another three planes did the same trip in reverse. The four-hour Brussels stopover lengthens passengers' trip time compared with a nonstop flight. It also forces Jet to move hundreds of passengers and their bags quickly through a foreign airport at great expense. But thanks to close cooperation with the privately owned airport, which was hungry for business, Jet was able to offer nine different connections between Indian and North American airports, compared with only three connections possible with nonstop flights. But as fuel prices rose in 2008 and America's financial problems rippled to India's outsourcing operations, Jet flights through Brussels grew emptier. Costs rose. Only weeks after adding a seventh Brussels flight last Oct. 31, from Bangalore, Jet reversed course on Nov. 25 and canceled the route, citing economic turmoil. Jet now serves 60 destinations, including 19 outside India. "The crisis has forced us to look much more closely at costs," Mr. Goyal said at his London mansion. Mr. Goyal says he remains committed to Brussels and predicts the North American operation will break even this summer. But many rivals doubt the long-term viability of a hub so far from home. "It doesn't work," says Pierre-Henri Gourgeon, chief executive of Air France-KLM SA, which operates huge hubs in Paris and Amsterdam. Successful hubs rely on big traffic volumes, which Jet cannot guarantee, he says. Mr. Goyal says falling Indian wages now give him a leg up, because labor accounts for only around 15% of Jet's costs, compared with more than 20% for most Western carriers. Still, he says Jet will refocus on cutting costs and expanding in less-competitive markets of Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka. "I want to learn how to buy my insurance for the next four years," Mr. Goyal said of his efforts to protect Jet. "I'm the biggest shareholder, so I suffer the most."

Friday, December 5, 2008

Dealing with Challenges at Air India

Air India has been going through a major transformation over the past two years. It has been inducting new aircraft for the first time in well over a decade, has introduced new long-haul flights and in-flight products that are getting decent reviews, has merged its operations with the former Indian Airlines, is modernising IT systems and is preparing to join the Star Alliance. In reality it is all long overdue, as Air India had been stagnating for so long. Chairman and managing director Raghu Menon is the first to admit that the change process should have started long ago, but as he puts it: "It is better late than never." India's air transport market has itself seen massive change over the past five years, since Air Deccan was launched as the country's first low-cost carrier. Its success led to the launch of many more airlines, which in their fight for market share brought airfares down sharply, resulting in huge growth in demand. At the same time the government opened up air services agreements to allow foreign airlines to operate more services to India, and began modernising airport infrastructure at last. The new players put immense pressure on state-run Air India and Indian, which had long been regarded as employment machines with apathetic staff, ageing aircraft and outdated in-flight products. The plan was to create a true network carrier operation to help the combined entity compete effectively with the new players. Air India had until then focused on international services while Indian focused on the domestic market, with some international services to Southeast Asia and the Middle East. "The merger is one of the best things that has happened. It has made us an airline of competitive scale in the region, in the South and Southeast Asian region. The main gains that we anticipated have turned out to be quite realistic, particularly the network synergies and the synergies in operations, and despite all doomsday predictions the human resource merger has also been of great ­benefit," says Menon, who only became ­chairman and managing director earlier this year after moving over from the Ministry of Civil Aviation. Air India still has real problems and some rival airlines say privately that its change process has largely been cosmetic without addressing the real issues of ­improving the balance sheet and cutting staff ­numbers. Officials at Air India feels other way costs have been reduced due to the enlarged entity's increased purchasing power. Offices abroad are being merged, and there has been a significant revenue boost which has exceeded all expectations. The feed is the major positive development. Its trying to ensure that the traffic from the domestic network feeds into two major hubs of Delhi and Mumbai, from where most of our international operations take place, so that passengers travelling abroad as well as passengers coming to India are able to get good seamless connectivity. The route duplication is almost completely removed. Also the duplication in offices and personnel in various locations has been removed, helping a big saving in cost. Financial benefits are impossible to quantify as the carrier does not release earnings at timely intervals since results must first be ­presented to Parliament. The last published accounts were for the year ended 31 March 2007, when Air India posted a loss after ­several years of profitability. It admits it is still losing plenty of money. Insiders say it lost more than Rs20 billion ($406 million) in the last financial year and the civil aviation minister himself was recently quoted as saying losses could hit Rs30 billion this year. One of the assurances which the government gave at the time of the merger was that there would be no retrenchment of employees. Another major problem is with information technology, particularly the lack of a single reservations system. This means that although only the Air India name is now used, the old Indian Airlines code remains. Passengers booking online, for example, still need to choose their flights from one of two websites. Changing this is a priority and a new booking system should be in place by the middle of 2009 from vendor EDS which will allow the two airlines to merge fully under the Air India code. Pushing it to speed up the implementation is the fact that it is due to join the Star Alliance in 2009. Air India will be the first Indian carrier to join an alliance and this should give it an edge over its competitors at home, all of which are struggling financially as a result of increased costs, overcapacity and a recent drop in demand. The tougher times have led to major changes in the operating environment and over the past two years there has been a wave of consolidation. Aside from the Air India-Indian merger, Jet Airways acquired the former Air Sahara (now JetLite) and Kingfisher acquired the former Air Deccan.These three groups now control 77% of the market by passenger numbers. Air India is looking for injection of equity,as its equity base is very low. The second proposal is for a soft loan. Air India holds a lot of promise and should not be underestimated. It is an airline which has performed for over 75 years, and with the transformation that is taking place it will perform even better.

Tuesday, December 4, 2007

Jet flying in turbulent weather...

The problems for Jet Airways are incresing just like the taxes n surcharges on air tickets... it all started when Kingfisher changed its business model from being a LCC to a full service premium airline & started taking on Jet... Then came its IPO & the Jet sahres were listed above Rs. 1000 per share. But, only then its decision to acquire Air Sahara came. The market & even the department heads of Jet reacted to it very sharply (agianst the deal). Share prices tumbled by nearly 50%, which till now have not been able to touch its listed prices, many of the department heads left Jet . Every body knows the end result of the deal... Air Sahara becoming Jetlite. By that time there were so many entrants & tough competition from LCC's started eating up its profit. In the mean time, International routes were opened for Indian private carriers & Jet tried to capitalise on this oppurtunity. Jet purchased new aircrafts...exactly the same time competition came from Air India with its new image, services, planes, etc... Jet just trying to handle this situation, Kingfisher announced its acquisition of Air Deccan to directly take Jet Airways head on. As of now Jet & Kingfisher have equal market share of nearly 29% (with thier combined entities respectively). As of now, all the decisions taken by it are going against Jet's favour... but, if Jet is able to survive this turbulance, I believe that Jet will return to its earlier position not only in Indian Aviation but, it will show the same performance internationally.

Thursday, October 4, 2007

Mergers in Aviation...

Ever thought the impact of mergers that’s takin place in Indian aviation will lead to??? The rosy picture what we see is not that rosy if we analyse carefully the complete scenario. Whats the basic reason of mergers, are airlines loving to get merged in order to have some sort of benefits to them…I don’t think so, they are doin it due to compulsion, the financial compulsion. Air Deccan sold its stake to Kingfisher only due to financial crisis, Air Sahara sold only due to mounting losses (the second deal). GoAir is cutting operations, even Spicejet may also be on sale (some stake). So, whats the mergers will finally lead…it will lead to cartels. Cartels of 2-3 airlines coming together like Kingfisher – Deccan, Jet- Jetlite, Air India or even Paramount with Spicejet or GoAir , may be both on Paramounts side. The cartels then formed will lead to some kind of monopoly with big players having there own say, prices have already started to going up, they are already heading north. The big Q is the impact it will have on the passengers pocket??? Indian bloggers listing
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Friday, August 31, 2007

The Air India Experience…

I was in Delhi on 24th & I would not like to discuss how I landed in Delhi, it was complete chaos for me… but, ya sure about my return flight to B’lore. I decided to fly by Air India (Indian), really a brave decision 4 me due, to all my previous experiences with the airline bt, I had made my mind for that. I flew with Air India, Delhi – Bangalore, 30th Aug., IC-403. I went to Airport counter on Sunday 26th to buy my tickets… the counter (with new Air India logo) was nearly empty with a short ‘Q’. my turn came n I asked for the 1630 hrs flight, the gentleman over there was a little confused stood up, strolled here n there for a few minutes changed his counter then, asked me to come over to that counter. Not a big deal 4 me n the whole ‘Q’ (although the short 1) shifted its counter. I again told my details etc. n asked for the cost, he said go to cash counter n pay…he he he… I went to cash counter n paid whatever I was asked to.
  • (fare- Rs. 3200 tax- Rs. 225+1100 = total Rs. 4525).

Luckily I checked the fare frm its site. Well this, a fair experience for me coz I know it works like this only…I dnt have much expectations frm it. on my scheduled date by 3 pm I was @ airport. Went to check-in counter n asked 4 aisle seat (this time also, very short ‘Q’, may b coz @ dat time there’s no rush). To my surprise I was awarded aisle seat, seat no. 10C (twice before, I asked 4 my preferences bt, was declined so I nvr I asked again, bt this time I jus did it). Everything went on smoothly, @ 1600 hrs passengers were asked to board the plane (hey, on-time). Now, the real experience was there, the plane was latest1. Aircraft registration no. VT-PPA (if I remember properly), which was delivered to IAL in July itself, (confirmed frm DGCA website). The aircraft was A-321, a 172 seater aircraft. Only 1 aircraft in its fleet ill now. “Air India” written on the plane. Entered the aircraft, saw the seats in economy class, enough leg-space, personalized TV screen. Flight took off nearly on scheduled time, flight time announced as 2.15 hrs for the flight. I will not bore u with wat they in snacks, it was as usual, bt, improved than b4. I would rather like to inform u abt the personalized TV, a touch-screen (can b operated frm handrest) 12 audio & video channels each.

  • Video channels - 02 channels showin same stuff.
  • channel 1&2 – English movie (Marc Lawrence directed “Music & Lyrics”, with Hugh Grant & Drew Barrymore)
  • channel 3&4 – Hindi movie (Abhishek & Aishwarya starrer blockbuster – “Guru”).
  • Channel 5&6 – comedy shows (Hindi & English)
  • Channel 7&8 – Shows (Travel, sports etc.)
  • Channel 9&10 – Music Videos (hindi)
  • Channel 11&12 – south Indian songs (may be Kannada, as flight was to blore)
  • Audio channels - bear with my very limited knowledge of music.
  • Channel 1- Indian classical
  • Channel 2- western classical
  • Channel 3- Ghazals
  • Channel 4- Raga’s
  • Channel 5- classical (Tabla)
  • Channel 6- classical (Veena)
  • Channel 7- combo classical (many instruments)
  • Channel 8- Hindi songs (1980-90s)
  • Channel 9- Hindi songs (New)
  • Channel 10- south Indian songs
  • Channel 11- Oldies Hindi songs
  • Channel 12- south Indian songs

Well this was all about the entertainment system. A good way to compete head on with Kingfisher Airlines & Jet Airways. The only turn off was that there are too many announcements in b/n (jus too many even, tried to count bt, lost the count). Landing was also on time. B4 leavin the plane I said to an air hostess standing at the doors –“Excellent flight, Thank U”… to b honest I never said so in ny flight, nt even in my fav. Jet Airways (I wonder is Jet still my fav… hv to gv a serious thought).

A couple of suggestions –

  1. plz announce Air India & not Indian Airlines
  2. aunties (older than my mom, I can say so, coz my mom still dnt hv ny grey hair) as air hostess… he he he…

A-321 is available on routes Delhi-Mumbai-Thiruvanantpuram-Mumbai-Delhi, Delhi-Chennai-Delhi (02 flights), Delhi-Bangalore-Delhi & Chennai-Singapore-Chennai. Lets wait n watch hw far can this go… ***best of luck*** to it. All this has been my written by my own personal experience.

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Wednesday, August 29, 2007

New rise in the Indian Aviation…

Few days after the final clearance from the governing bodies to the merger of Air India & Indian, these ads appeared in national dailies emphasizing on their much hyped changed looks etc…the new rise in Indian Aviation in the form of Air India... after Kingfisher & Jet Airways it’s the turn of national carrier to provide personalized TV screens in their new A-321, presently available on a few routes bt, soon to be extended on all routes…finally the sleeping giant awakens.

This 1 shows appeared on the national dailies with full page coverage showing the complete make over…showing all the three subsidiaries viz., Air India, Air India Express & Air India Cargo… The inaugural of a dedicated flight to India Post serving the North – East India…using the B – 737-200 Aircraft… The time table to North – East connecting Kolkata, Guwahati, Imphal & Agartala daily…

  • With so much hype I really wonder hw, it is goin to work for Air India in future with some sections of media already showin that the over – hyped Mumbai – New York flight is already a failure…I think its too early to say so, lets wait n watch…
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Saturday, August 18, 2007

Competiotion @ its best...

Objective of the hoarding was to highlight the Image makeover of Jet Airways. It was done to reposition the airlines as an int'l airlines. The theme of the ad shows that the airline has changed...bt, some of the issues which i feel left uncovered were, as the airline changed its logo it has not been given much attention. If the size of logo would have been big enough then, the hoarding would have been much more effective. now, if some1 gives a simple look to it, its hard to find out which co. has is it for. even, the name of co. is written in very small, it should hv been big & bold.the message is nt so clear, wat could hv been, at least wat 1 can expect from Jet Airways. now, it looks sm kind of cool stuff in a frst look, the logo & co. name is visible, the message is clear for Kingfisher. they hv positioned the billboard right over the jet's hoarding, the msg. given is clearly understood. bt, wait 1 questn...is this ethical frm a brand like Kingfisher??? i mean the wat they hv gained financially frm this, may be nothing, it looks so cheap... if they hv put this money in sm good ad. it would hv been gr8. ohhh...this is really crap now, its a clutter, all this look catchy in a frst shot, bt, to read it completly u hv to stop ur vehicle for a while & read it to understand its meaning. every1 is tryin to dwngrade every other. in the terms of communication, its a noise in the communication process. GoAir,a LCC is trying to show, its presences in between full service carriers. nice try. all this happened in our own Mumbai. if m nt, wrong in the month of march or april.
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Sunday, August 12, 2007

Jet Airways repositioning...

how can i be so mean that, i forgot my fav. airline about its repositioning & image makeover by having new logo & new cabin crew uniform...even i never mentioned about the Mumbai-Brussels-New York Flight started by it on Aug. 05... may be bacause, i got complance that Jet already offers World Class service & Air India till date used to stand no where in frnt of it...well its always "better late than never", i hv cm up with smthing regarding the new look of the airline... In order to reposition Jet Airways as an int'l airline, it has gone in for an image makeover. the new look of uniforms for cabin crew has been designed by Italian designer Roberto Capucci. The new logo has been inspired by a dupatta, to give a touch of India to its new international look. The airline has also installed newly designed seats and cabins for its economy, first and business class travelers and state-of the art in-flight entertainment systems for long haul international flights. Jet Airways decided on a new look as it is facing intense competition from Vijay Mallya-promoted Kingfisher Airlines.... RankingBlogs.com :: Defining Your Blogs Worth: TopSites: Directory of Aviation Blogs Seed Newsvine Dig the Web!

Wednesday, August 8, 2007

The all – round development of Indian Aviation…

First came the open sky policy of 1990’s, which gave a boom to full-service carriers, then it again started with Air Deccan as country’s first LCC, then came the modernization of Int’l airports, followed by Non-metro Airports, then came the regional airlines which is now followed by development of nearly 300 airstrips all over India & the latest trend or I can rather say craze in Indian Aviation is Cargo Airlines…Air India has already started its cargo operations with two aircrafts…Jet Airways may also come up with a unit which will be dedicated to only cargo business…some of the upcoming cargo airlines are –->
  • Flyington Freighters. It been promoted by Deccan Chronicle Holding & will be based in Hyderabad. It will have scheduled operations to various overseas destination. Its fleet will include a mix of A-330-200F’s & B-777 freighter’s. If everything goes according to plans, having an A-380 in the fleet is also on cards…
  • then comes Aryan Cargo Express. It will start as an non-scheduled operator (operating both domestically & overseas)…it will start with a fleet of 03 B-757-200 freighter aircraft & as they will increase their fleet size (may be mid-2008), they may consider entering in to scheduled operations…
  • the last one is Air Cargo Express which will start its operations with a fleet of ATR’s…

Its also been heard from industry watchers that Reliance may also consider its cargo airline to compliment its Supply chain…as of now, Bluedart is the only dedicated Air cargo operator in India with a market share of nearly 40% closely followed by Jet Airways with 30% & remaining with other carriers…now, it seems to me that Indian Aviation industry is really booming with all round development & not a single stone is left unturned…

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